Mercadal vs Santanyí: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 21Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Martì, Menorca
The Footlab AI model makes Mercadal the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Santanyí. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mercadal wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mercadal vs Santanyí?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Mercadal (1,733) and Santanyí (1,785).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mercadal vs Santanyí
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mercadal
Not enough data to predict the Mercadal lineup.
Santanyí
Not enough data to predict the Santanyí lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mercadal have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Santanyí have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcúdia(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Constància(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Santanyí(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arenal(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Llosetense(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Porreres(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alcúdia(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Constància(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mercadal wins, 1 draw, 3 Santanyí wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Santanyí 1-1 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Mercadal 1-0 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Santanyí 3-0 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Mercadal 3-2 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Santanyí 2-0 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Santanyí 1-0 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mercadal score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Santanyí score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercadal | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Santanyí | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mercadal sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (5 points from 6 matches) and Santanyí sit 6th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Santanyí | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 13 | Mercadal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Mercadal vs Santanyí?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mercadal vs Santanyí?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mercadal the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Santanyí.
- Where and when is Mercadal vs Santanyí played?
- Mercadal vs Santanyí is played on February 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Martì, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.