Alcúdia vs Inter Ibiza: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal Els Arcs, Mallorca
The Footlab model makes Inter Ibiza the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Alcúdia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcúdia vs Inter Ibiza?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Alcúdia (1,698) and Inter Ibiza (1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcúdia have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Inter Ibiza have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mercadal(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2026 | Binissalem(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Felanitx(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Portmany(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Constància(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 3, 2026 | Llosetense(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cardassar(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Manacor(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mercadal(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Alcúdia win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Inter Ibiza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Inter Ibiza 2-0 Alcúdia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Alcúdia 1-2 Inter Ibiza | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Inter Ibiza vs Alcúdia on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alcúdia score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Inter Ibiza score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcúdia | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Inter Ibiza | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcúdia sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (39 points from 34 matches) and Inter Ibiza sit 7th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42 | 43 | 50 |
| 13 | Alcúdia | 34 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 36 | 59 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcúdia vs Inter Ibiza?
- The Footlab model makes Inter Ibiza the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Alcúdia.
- Where and when is Alcúdia vs Inter Ibiza played?
- Alcúdia vs Inter Ibiza is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal Els Arcs, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.