Alcúdia vs Platges Calvià: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal Els Arcs, Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Platges Calvià the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Alcúdia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Platges Calvià wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,415 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcúdia vs Platges Calvià?
Platges Calvià starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,668).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcúdia vs Platges Calvià
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcúdia
Not enough data to predict the Alcúdia lineup.
Platges Calvià
Not enough data to predict the Platges Calvià lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 08:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcúdia have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Platges Calvià have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Porreres(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | PE Sant Jordi(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Llosetense(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Arenal(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Formentera(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Andratx(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sineu(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Alcúdia wins, 1 draw, 3 Platges Calvià wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Platges Calvià 1-0 Alcúdia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Alcúdia 1-0 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 11, 2025 | Alcúdia 6-3 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Platges Calvià 1-1 Alcúdia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 10, 2024 | Alcúdia 1-2 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 18, 2023 | Platges Calvià 1-0 Alcúdia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Platges Calvià vs Alcúdia on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alcúdia score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Platges Calvià score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcúdia | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Platges Calvià | 2.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcúdia sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (12 points from 10 matches) and Platges Calvià sit 1st (24 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Platges Calvià | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 8 | 24 |
| 12 | Alcúdia | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 12 |
A question about Alcúdia vs Platges Calvià?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcúdia vs Platges Calvià?
- The Footlab AI model makes Platges Calvià the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Alcúdia.
- Where and when is Alcúdia vs Platges Calvià played?
- Alcúdia vs Platges Calvià is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal Els Arcs, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.