Mercadal vs Binissalem: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Martì, Menorca
The Footlab AI model makes Mercadal the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Binissalem. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mercadal wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mercadal vs Binissalem?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Mercadal (1,737) and Binissalem (1,740).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mercadal vs Binissalem
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mercadal
Not enough data to predict the Mercadal lineup.
Binissalem
Not enough data to predict the Binissalem lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mercadal have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Binissalem have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcúdia(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Constància(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Santanyí(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arenal(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sineu(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Migjorn(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Platges Calvià(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cardassar(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Mercadal wins, 0 draws, 2 Binissalem wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Mercadal 1-0 Binissalem | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Binissalem 0-1 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Mercadal 2-0 Binissalem | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Binissalem 2-0 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Mercadal 2-1 Binissalem | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Binissalem 2-0 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Mercadal vs Binissalem on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mercadal score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Binissalem score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercadal | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Binissalem | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mercadal sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (5 points from 6 matches) and Binissalem sit 12th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Binissalem | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
| 13 | Mercadal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
A question about Mercadal vs Binissalem?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mercadal vs Binissalem?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mercadal the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Binissalem.
- Where and when is Mercadal vs Binissalem played?
- Mercadal vs Binissalem is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Martì, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.