Alexandria vs Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Comunal 2, Clinceni
The Footlab model makes Alexandria the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alexandria vs Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Alexandria (1,429) and Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu (1,332).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alexandria have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(away) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | CSL Nanov(away) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 8, 2026 | Filiaşi(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 1, 2026 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(home) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti(home) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cetatea(home) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Alexandria(home) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| May 9, 2026 | Progresul Spartac(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 1, 2026 | Oltul Curtişoara(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Alexandria win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu 3-0 Alexandria | Cupa României |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Alexandria 0-1 Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu 0-4 Alexandria | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Alexandria 2-2 Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu 1-1 Alexandria | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Alexandria 3-0 Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu vs Alexandria on Jul 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alexandria score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandria | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alexandria sit 2nd in Liga III - Serie 5 (43 points from 6 matches) and Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu sit 4th (27 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Alexandria | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alexandria vs Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu?
- The Footlab model makes Alexandria the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu.
- Where and when is Alexandria vs Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu played?
- Alexandria vs Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Comunal 2, in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.