Cetatea vs Voluntari II: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Municipal, Turnu Măgurele
The Footlab model makes Cetatea the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Voluntari II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cetatea vs Voluntari II?
Cetatea is a heavy favourite: 1,511 Elo points against 1,202, a 308-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cetatea have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Voluntari II have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Vulturii Fărcăşeşti(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(away) | 2-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 2, 2026 | Minerul Lupeni(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 3-4 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 8, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 2, 2026 | Gloria Băneasa(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Agigea(home) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Progresul Fundulea(away) | 0-4 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Cetatea score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Voluntari II score 1.3 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cetatea | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Voluntari II | 1.3 | 2.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cetatea | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 41 | 19 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cetatea vs Voluntari II?
- The Footlab model makes Cetatea the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Voluntari II.
- Where and when is Cetatea vs Voluntari II played?
- Cetatea vs Voluntari II is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Municipal, in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.