Progresul Mogosoaia vs Dinamo Bucureşti II: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 4Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Progresul Mogosoaia the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Dinamo Bucureşti II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Mogosoaia vs Dinamo Bucureşti II?
Progresul Mogosoaia starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,410 vs 1,298).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Mogosoaia have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Dinamo Bucureşti II have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 1-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Voința Crevedia(home) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | LPS HD Clinceni(home) | 3-0 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Baicoi(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | Valenii de Munte(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | FCSB II(home) | 1-3 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 8, 2026 | Voluntari II(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| May 1, 2026 | Agigea(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Axiopolis(home) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Recolta Gheorghe Doja(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Mogosoaia score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Bucureşti II score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Mogosoaia | 1.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Dinamo Bucureşti II | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Mogosoaia vs Dinamo Bucureşti II?
- The Footlab model makes Progresul Mogosoaia the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Dinamo Bucureşti II.
- Where and when is Progresul Mogosoaia vs Dinamo Bucureşti II played?
- Progresul Mogosoaia vs Dinamo Bucureşti II is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.