Alfreton Town vs Lincoln: result 1-3 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 11, 2011 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Impact Arena, Alfreton, Derbyshire
Full time
What was the result of Alfreton Town vs Lincoln?
Lincoln won 1-3 on October 11, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 11′Sam SmithLincoln
- 13′Sam SmithLincoln
- 18′Paul ClaytonAlfreton Town
- 24′Gavin McCallumLincoln
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Alfreton Town have 2 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Lincoln have 3, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2011 | Kettering Town(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Grimsby(away) | 2-5 | National League |
| Sep 27, 2011 | AFC Telford United(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Ebbsfleet United(home) | 2-2 | National League |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Barrow(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2011 | Tamworth(away) | 0-4 | National League |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Bath City(home) | 2-0 | National League |
| Sep 27, 2011 | Barrow(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Forest Green(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Gateshead(home) | 1-0 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Alfreton Town score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 14; Lincoln score 0.8 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfreton Town | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/14 | 7/14 |
| Lincoln | 0.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 6/14 | 5/14 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 4, 2011Gateshead1-4Wrexham
- Oct 11, 2011Fleetwood Town1-4Newport County
- Oct 11, 2011Grimsby5-2Barrow
- Oct 11, 2011Southport1-1York
- Oct 11, 2011Ebbsfleet United2-2Luton
- Oct 11, 2011Stockport County3-4Darlington
- Oct 11, 2011Kidderminster Harriers2-2AFC Telford United
- Oct 11, 2011Hayes & Yeading United2-0Forest Green