Workington vs Alfreton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Borough Park, Workington, Cumbria
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Workington have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Alfreton Town have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ashton United(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bury(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 6, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Workington score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Alfreton Town score 1.4 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workington | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Alfreton Town | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Workington sit 7th in Non League Premier - Northern (24 points from 15 matches) and Alfreton Town sit 11th (20 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
| 11 | Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 17 | 20 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy