Workington vs Alfreton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Borough Park, Workington, Cumbria
The Footlab AI model makes Workington the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Alfreton Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Workington wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,445 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Workington vs Alfreton Town?
On Elo ratings, Workington has 1,760 points and Alfreton Town 1,733.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Workington vs Alfreton Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Workington
Not enough data to predict the Workington lineup.
Alfreton Town
Not enough data to predict the Alfreton Town lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Workington have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Alfreton Town have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bury(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 3-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mickleover Sports(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ashton United(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bury(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Workington score 2.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alfreton Town score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Workington | 2.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Alfreton Town | 1.4 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Workington sit 7th in Non League Premier - Northern (27 points from 16 matches) and Alfreton Town sit 11th (23 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Workington | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 26 | 27 |
| 11 | Alfreton Town | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 18 | 23 |
A question about Workington vs Alfreton Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Workington vs Alfreton Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Workington the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Alfreton Town.
- Where and when is Workington vs Alfreton Town played?
- Workington vs Alfreton Town is played on November 10, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Borough Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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