Alfreton Town vs Newport County: result 3-2 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 6, 2011 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Impact Arena, Alfreton, Derbyshire
Full time
What was the result of Alfreton Town vs Newport County?
Alfreton Town won 3-2 on December 6, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 4′E. BuchananNewport County
- 29′A. ChurchAlfreton Town
- 38′J. MoultAlfreton Town
- 60′G. WarrenNewport County
- 89′Nathan JarmanAlfreton Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alfreton Town have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Newport County have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2011 | Southport(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Nov 29, 2011 | Barrow(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Hayes & Yeading United(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Gateshead(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Nov 12, 2011 | Carlisle(home) | 0-4 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2011 | Lincoln(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Nov 29, 2011 | Hayes & Yeading United(away) | 4-0 | National League |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Luton(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Grimsby(away) | 2-2 | National League |
| Nov 12, 2011 | Shrewsbury(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Alfreton Town score 1.1 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Newport County score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfreton Town | 1.1 | 2.4 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Newport County | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy