Where and when is Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ played?

Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, Elazığ

Elazığspor

Aliağa FAŞ

The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Aliağa FAŞ. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Elazığspor (1,880) and Aliağa FAŞ (1,795).

Elazığspor win52 %

Draw23 %

Aliağa FAŞ win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elazığspor have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Aliağa FAŞ have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Elazığspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Muğlaspor(away)	0-0	2. Lig
May 4, 2026	Adana 01 FK(home)	2-1	2. Lig
Apr 30, 2026	Adana 01 FK(away)	4-2	2. Lig
Apr 25, 2026	24 Erzincanspor(home)	2-0	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	İskenderunspor(away)	1-0	2. Lig

Aliağa FAŞ
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 4, 2026	Muş Sport Klübü(away)	0-0	2. Lig
Apr 30, 2026	Muş Sport Klübü(home)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 25, 2026	Bursaspor(home)	0-5	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Menemen FK(home)	5-0	2. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Elazığspor score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aliağa FAŞ score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Elazığspor	2.3	0.7	8	7/15	9/15
Aliağa FAŞ	2.1	1.7	5	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Elazığspor sit 3rd in 2. Lig (69 points from 36 matches) and Aliağa FAŞ sit 4th (69 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Elazığspor	36	21	6	9	82	37	69
4	Aliağa FAŞ	34	21	6	7	81	32	69

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?: The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Aliağa FAŞ.
Where and when is Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ played?: Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.