Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 14Kick-off on May 1, 2016 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Melanio Coloma Calderón, Sullana
Full time
What was the result of Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Alianza Atletico won 2-1 on May 1, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 25′S. BrundoComerciantes Unidos
- 52′A. LópezAlianza Atletico
- 74′H. SantacruzAlianza Atletico (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Alianza Atletico have 6 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Comerciantes Unidos have 4, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2016 | Deportivo Municipal(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 23, 2016 | FBC Melgar(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 17, 2016 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Defensor LA Bocana(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 13, 2016 | Universitario(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2016 | Real Garcilaso(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 24, 2016 | Union Comercio(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Apr 15, 2016 | Deportivo Municipal(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 1, 2016 | FBC Melgar(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 13, 2016 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Alianza Atletico score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 13; Comerciantes Unidos score 1.2 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza Atletico | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/13 | 9/13 |
| Comerciantes Unidos | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/13 | 4/13 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alianza Atletico sit 8th in Primera División (21 points from 17 matches) and Comerciantes Unidos sit 9th (21 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 21 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 21 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 28 | 31 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 21 |
| 10 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| 10 | Alianza Atletico | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy