Union Comercio vs Deportivo Municipal: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 14Kick-off on May 1, 2016 at 04:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre García, Tarapoto
Full time
What was the result of Union Comercio vs Deportivo Municipal?
Union Comercio won 2-1 on May 1, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 29′Diego Armando Mayora RengifoUnion Comercio
- 71′M. VelascoDeportivo Municipal (pen.)
- 87′Diego Armando Mayora RengifoUnion Comercio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Union Comercio have 4 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Deportivo Municipal have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2016 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 24, 2016 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 17, 2016 | Universitario(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 3, 2016 | Juan Aurich(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 12, 2016 | Ayacucho FC(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2016 | Alianza Atletico(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 23, 2016 | Real Garcilaso(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 15, 2016 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Mar 12, 2016 | FBC Melgar(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Union Comercio score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 13; Deportivo Municipal score 1.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Comercio | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/13 | 8/13 |
| Deportivo Municipal | 1.1 | 1.6 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy