U. San Martin vs Defensor LA Bocana: result 4-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónApertura - 14Kick-off on May 2, 2016 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Hugo Sotil Yerén, Lima
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What was the result of U. San Martin vs Defensor LA Bocana?
U. San Martin won 4-2 on May 2, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 8′J. PonceU. San Martin
- 11′J. PonceU. San Martin
- 44′J. BosmedianoDefensor LA Bocana (o.g.)
- 52′S. AponteDefensor LA Bocana
- 82′C. OrtízU. San Martin
- 90′J. SánchezU. San Martin (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, U. San Martin have 3 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Defensor LA Bocana have 3, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2016 | Universitario(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 23, 2016 | Juan Aurich(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Ayacucho FC(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Apr 3, 2016 | UTC Cajamarca(home) | 2-4 | Primera División |
| Mar 12, 2016 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2016 | Cesar Vallejo(home) | 4-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 22, 2016 | UTC Cajamarca(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 17, 2016 | Alianza Lima(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Apr 2, 2016 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Mar 14, 2016 | Real Garcilaso(home) | 5-0 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
U. San Martin score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 12; Defensor LA Bocana score 2.0 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. San Martin | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1 | 6/12 | 5/12 |
| Defensor LA Bocana | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 11/13 | 12/13 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy