Alianza vs CD Motagua: result 1-1 and analysis
CONCACAF League8th FinalsKick-off on November 5, 2020 at 03:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador
Full time
What was the result of Alianza vs CD Motagua?
Alianza and CD Motagua drew 1-1 on November 5, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 80′R. ZelayaAlianza (pen.)
- 90′H. CastellanosCD Motagua
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alianza have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; CD Motagua have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2020 | Santa Tecla(away) | 3-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Atlético Marte(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Chalatenango(away) | 3-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 11, 2020 | Santa Tecla(home) | 3-0 | Primera Division |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Jocoro(home) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2020 | CD Olimpia(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 28, 2020 | CD Real Sociedad(away) | 5-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 25, 2020 | CD Marathon(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 23, 2020 | Comunicaciones(home) | 2-2 | CONCACAF League |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Real de Minas(away) | 3-0 | Liga Nacional |
How many goals should we expect?
Alianza score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CD Motagua score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| CD Motagua | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy