Municipal Limeño vs Alianza: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 22Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Dr. Ramón Flores Berríos, Santa Rosa de Lima
The Footlab AI model makes Municipal Limeño the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Alianza. The most likely score is 1-1. If Municipal Limeño wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,436 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Municipal Limeño vs Alianza?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Municipal Limeño (1,554) and Alianza (1,601).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Municipal Limeño vs Alianza
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Municipal Limeño
Not enough data to predict the Municipal Limeño lineup.
Alianza
4-1-4-1- 7M. Mier
- 6N. Orellana
- 10L. Menjívar
- 8H. Osorio
- 14W. Parra
- 56D. Romero
- 23J. Monteagudo
- 29E. Hernández
- 19N. A. Rodriguez Arias
- 3J. Sibrián
- 13M. González
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 02:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Municipal Limeño have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Alianza have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | Águila(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(home) | 3-4 | Primera Division |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cacahuatique(home) | 3-3 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2026 | FAS(home) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Nov 11, 2026 | Fuerte San Francisco(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Águila(home) | 3-2 | Primera Division |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Municipal Limeño wins, 2 draws, 4 Alianza wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alianza 3-2 Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Municipal Limeño 0-0 Alianza | Primera Division |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Alianza 1-0 Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Alianza 3-0 Municipal Limeño | Primera Division |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Municipal Limeño 0-0 Alianza | Primera Division |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Municipal Limeño 0-1 Alianza | Primera Division |
Last archived meeting: Alianza vs Municipal Limeño on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Municipal Limeño score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Municipal Limeño | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Alianza | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Municipal Limeño sit 8th in Primera Division (24 points from 21 matches) and Alianza sit 7th (26 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Alianza | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 27 | 26 |
| 8 | Municipal Limeño | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 32 | 33 | 24 |
A question about Municipal Limeño vs Alianza?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Municipal Limeño vs Alianza?
- The Footlab AI model makes Municipal Limeño the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Alianza.
- Where and when is Municipal Limeño vs Alianza played?
- Municipal Limeño vs Alianza is played on November 21, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Dr. Ramón Flores Berríos, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.