Match

CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia: prediction and stats

Liga NacionalApertura - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 11:15 PM (UTC)Estadio José de la Paz Herrera Uclés, Tegucigalpa

CD MotaguaCD Olimpia

The Footlab AI model makes CD Motagua the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for CD Olimpia. The most likely score is 1-1. If CD Motagua wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia?

On Elo ratings, CD Motagua has 1,796 points and CD Olimpia 1,914.

37%28%35%
CD Motagua winDrawCD Olimpia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

CD Motagua

4-3-3
  1. 9J. Moya
  2. 19Rodrigo De Olivera Donado
  3. 14A. Barrios
  1. 23A. Reyes
  2. 8D. Meléndez
  3. 27J. Macías
  1. 17J. Portillo
  2. 35C. Meléndez
  3. 4L. Vega
  4. 34G. Sacaza
  1. 22L. Ortiz

CD Olimpia

4-4-2
  1. 9J. Benguché
  2. 7I. Enríquez
  1. 14J. Jean-Baptiste
  2. 20A. Maldonado
  3. 8E. Rodríguez
  4. 25D. Paguada
  1. 2E. Hernández
  2. 15K. Guity
  3. 12C. Canales
  4. 4E. Lobo
  1. 1E. Menjívar

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:32 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CD Motagua have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; CD Olimpia have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CD Motagua
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Lobos Upnfm(away)0-1Liga Nacional
Nov 1, 2026CD Marathon(home)2-0Liga Nacional
Oct 30, 2026LD Alajuelense(away)1-2CONCACAF Central American Cup
Oct 25, 2026Juticalpa(home)2-0Liga Nacional
Oct 23, 2026LD Alajuelense(home)0-0CONCACAF Central American Cup
CD Olimpia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Olancho(home)1-1Liga Nacional
Nov 5, 2026Juticalpa(home)8-0Liga Nacional
Nov 1, 2026Atlético Choloma(away)3-0Liga Nacional
Oct 29, 2026CS Cartagines(home)2-2CONCACAF Central American Cup
Oct 25, 2026Lobos Upnfm(away)1-0Liga Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 CD Motagua win, 2 draws, 3 CD Olimpia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026CD Olimpia 3-1 CD MotaguaLiga Nacional
Apr 12, 2026CD Motagua 0-1 CD OlimpiaLiga Nacional
Feb 23, 2026CD Olimpia 0-1 CD MotaguaLiga Nacional
Dec 21, 2025CD Motagua 1-1 CD OlimpiaLiga Nacional
Dec 18, 2025CD Olimpia 2-0 CD MotaguaLiga Nacional
Oct 17, 2025CD Olimpia 2-2 CD MotaguaLiga Nacional

Last archived meeting: CD Olimpia vs CD Motagua on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

CD Motagua score 1.2 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; CD Olimpia score 2.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
CD Motagua1.20.585/155/15
CD Olimpia2.40.776/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

CD Motagua sit 4th in Liga Nacional (28 points from 14 matches) and CD Olimpia sit 1st (33 points from 14 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1CD Olimpia14103135933
4CD Motagua14914211128

A question about CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia?
The Footlab AI model makes CD Motagua the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for CD Olimpia.
Where and when is CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia played?
CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia is played on November 22, 2026 at 11:15 PM (UTC) at Estadio José de la Paz Herrera Uclés, in the Liga Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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