Aljustrelense vs Imortal Albufeira: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group DGroup D - 6Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Aljustrel, Aljustrel
The Footlab AI model makes Imortal Albufeira the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Aljustrelense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Imortal Albufeira wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,640 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aljustrelense vs Imortal Albufeira?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Aljustrelense (1,662) and Imortal Albufeira (1,737).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aljustrelense vs Imortal Albufeira
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aljustrelense
4-3-3- PPedro Alexandre Fialho Guerreiro
- PPaulo Costa
- EE. Udokporo
- BBabacar Thiam Fall
- SSene Dabo
- IInsa Sagna
- BBlessed Andrade Mendes Teixeira
- VVumi Côco Mpasi
- RRui Miguel Pereira Alexandre
- JJonathan Restrepo Firmino
- IIgor Miguel Henriques Palma
Imortal Albufeira
4-3-3- JJorzinho Miranda
- JJoão António Moita Romeiro
- DDiogo Filipe Pina Alves
- NN. Opara
- NNuno Jeronimo Pereira Augusto Neves
- LLeandro Ari
- PPedro Rodrigues
- MMiguel João Freitas Gonçalves
- WWilliams Fadini
- FFabinho
- LLucas Teixeira
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aljustrelense have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Imortal Albufeira have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Juventude Évora(away) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcochetense(home) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Os Limianos(away) | 0-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Portel(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ferreiras(away) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Portel(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tondela(home) | 1-5 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Alcochetense(away) | 1-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sintrense(home) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lagoa(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Aljustrelense score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Imortal Albufeira score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aljustrelense | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Imortal Albufeira | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Imortal Albufeira | 26 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 19 | 46 | 13 |
A question about Aljustrelense vs Imortal Albufeira?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aljustrelense vs Imortal Albufeira?
- The Footlab AI model makes Imortal Albufeira the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Aljustrelense.
- Where and when is Aljustrelense vs Imortal Albufeira played?
- Aljustrelense vs Imortal Albufeira is played on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Aljustrel, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.