Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Indodrill Stadium, Alloa
The Footlab AI model makes Airdrie United the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Alloa Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Airdrie United wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Alloa Athletic (1,581) and Airdrie United (1,625).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alloa Athletic
4-3-3- 24O. Foster
- 7K. Glasgow
- 28M. Aitken
- 4S. Hetherington
- 12S. Scougall
- 6G. Marchant
- 2S. Taggart
- 20C. O'Donnell
- 5Joseph McGrath
- 3C. Waters
- 1R. Stewart
Airdrie United
4-1-2-1-2- 25J. Gentles
- 10M. Yates
- 4C. Ross
- 27L. Gibson
- 16C. Smith
- 8G. Gallagher
- 2D. MacDonald
- 31D. Gallagher
- 5S. Fisher
- 24R. Tumilty
- 1J. Sneddon
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 05:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alloa Athletic have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Airdrie United have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 0-3 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gala Fairydean Rovers(home) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Hearts U21(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Montrose(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(home) | 7-1 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Alloa Athletic wins, 0 draws, 3 Airdrie United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Airdrie United 1-0 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| May 9, 2026 | Airdrie United 1-2 Alloa Athletic | Championship |
| May 5, 2026 | Alloa Athletic 1-0 Airdrie United | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Alloa Athletic 2-3 Airdrie United | Challenge Cup |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Airdrie United 2-3 Alloa Athletic | League Cup |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Alloa Athletic 0-1 Airdrie United | League One |
Last archived meeting: Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alloa Athletic score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Airdrie United score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alloa Athletic | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Airdrie United | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alloa Athletic sit 6th in League One (12 points from 11 matches) and Airdrie United sit 5th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Airdrie United | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 13 |
| 6 | Alloa Athletic | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
A question about Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Airdrie United the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Alloa Athletic.
- Where and when is Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United played?
- Alloa Athletic vs Airdrie United is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Indodrill Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.