Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Indodrill Stadium, Alloa
The Footlab model makes Alloa Athletic the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Cove Rangers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Alloa Athletic (1,637) and Cove Rangers (1,564).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alloa Athletic have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Cove Rangers have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Motherwell U21(home) | 3-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Montrose(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stranraer(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Dundee United II(home) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stirling Albion(away) | 2-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 0-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Alloa Athletic win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Cove Rangers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Cove Rangers 0-1 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Alloa Athletic 2-2 Cove Rangers | League One |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Cove Rangers 0-0 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Alloa Athletic 2-1 Cove Rangers | League One |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Cove Rangers 1-1 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Alloa Athletic 2-1 Cove Rangers | League One |
Last archived meeting: Cove Rangers vs Alloa Athletic on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alloa Athletic score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cove Rangers score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alloa Athletic | 1.5 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Cove Rangers | 1.3 | 2.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alloa Athletic sit 4th in League One (7 points from 4 matches) and Cove Rangers sit 7th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Alloa Athletic | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Cove Rangers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers?
- The Footlab model makes Alloa Athletic the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Cove Rangers.
- Where and when is Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers played?
- Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Indodrill Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.