Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Indodrill Stadium, Alloa
The Footlab AI model makes Alloa Athletic the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Cove Rangers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alloa Athletic wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,757 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Alloa Athletic (1,535) and Cove Rangers (1,505).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alloa Athletic
4-3-3- 24O. Foster
- 7K. Glasgow
- 28M. Aitken
- 12S. Scougall
- 6G. Marchant
- 4S. Hetherington
- 2S. Taggart
- 5Joseph McGrath
- 3C. Waters
- 20C. O'Donnell
- 1R. Stewart
Cove Rangers
4-3-1-2- 26J. White
- 9D. Oladipo
- 77C. Maguire
- 15A. Darge
- 10M. Barry
- 14J. Chalmers
- 6J. Mercer
- 3Dylan Ross
- 2L. Bisland
- 7R. Harrington
- 1R. Mutch
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 12:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alloa Athletic have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Cove Rangers have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Queen of the South(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 0-3 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Peterhead(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Formartine United(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | East Fife(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 3-4 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Aberdeen U21(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Alloa Athletic wins, 4 draws, 0 Cove Rangers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Cove Rangers 1-1 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Cove Rangers 0-1 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Alloa Athletic 2-2 Cove Rangers | League One |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Cove Rangers 0-0 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Alloa Athletic 2-1 Cove Rangers | League One |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Cove Rangers 1-1 Alloa Athletic | League One |
Last archived meeting: Cove Rangers vs Alloa Athletic on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alloa Athletic score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cove Rangers score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alloa Athletic | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Cove Rangers | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alloa Athletic sit 7th in League One (12 points from 12 matches) and Cove Rangers sit 10th (6 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Alloa Athletic | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 12 |
| 10 | Cove Rangers | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 6 |
A question about Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alloa Athletic the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Cove Rangers.
- Where and when is Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers played?
- Alloa Athletic vs Cove Rangers is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Indodrill Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.