Alloa Athletic vs East Fife: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Indodrill Stadium, Alloa
The Footlab model makes Alloa Athletic the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for East Fife. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alloa Athletic vs East Fife?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Alloa Athletic (1,662) and East Fife (1,600).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alloa Athletic have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; East Fife have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Montrose(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stranraer(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | East Fife(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterhead(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Spartans(home) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cove Rangers(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 0-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Alloa Athletic win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 East Fife win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alloa Athletic 0-0 East Fife | League One |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Alloa Athletic 2-0 East Fife | League One |
| Feb 28, 2026 | East Fife 0-2 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Alloa Athletic 1-1 East Fife | League One |
| Aug 9, 2025 | East Fife 0-1 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Jul 16, 2024 | Alloa Athletic 0-0 East Fife | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Alloa Athletic vs East Fife on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alloa Athletic score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; East Fife score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alloa Athletic | 1.4 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| East Fife | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alloa Athletic sit 4th in League One (7 points from 4 matches) and East Fife sit 6th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Alloa Athletic | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | East Fife | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alloa Athletic vs East Fife?
- The Footlab model makes Alloa Athletic the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for East Fife.
- Where and when is Alloa Athletic vs East Fife played?
- Alloa Athletic vs East Fife is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Indodrill Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.