Ross County vs Montrose: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Global Energy Stadium, Dingwall
The Footlab AI model makes Ross County the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Montrose. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ross County vs Montrose?
Ross County starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,797 vs 1,593).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ross County vs Montrose
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ross County
4-2-3-1- 9Brian Graham
- 6C. Randall
- 23R. Docherty
- 16C. Hamilton
- 19L. McCarvel
- 7R. Chin
- 4A. Wright
- 3L. Strapp
- 5L. Reid
- 15D. Smith
- 1B. Foster-Theniger
Montrose
4-4-1-1- 16J. Sutherland
- 19G. Oliver
- 8J. Barjonas
- 11B. Lyons
- 12K. Freeman
- 22H. Craig
- 4A. Quinn
- 5S. McGinty
- 3F. Duffy
- 15C. Oosenbrugh
- 1C. Gill
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ross County have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Montrose have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 5-0 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hearts U21(home) | 14-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 5-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Dundee United II(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 0-5 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(away) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Formartine United(away) | 2-3 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Ross County wins, 1 draw, 0 Montrose wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Montrose 0-5 Ross County | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ross County 2-1 Montrose | League One |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Ross County 4-1 Montrose | League Cup |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Montrose 3-3 Ross County | League Cup |
| Jul 13, 2019 | Ross County 4-1 Montrose | League Cup |
| Jul 18, 2017 | Montrose 0-6 Ross County | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Montrose vs Ross County on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ross County score 4.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Montrose score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross County | 4.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 14/15 |
| Montrose | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ross County sit 1st in League One (25 points from 9 matches) and Montrose sit 4th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 5 | 25 |
| 4 | Montrose | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 15 |
A question about Ross County vs Montrose?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ross County vs Montrose?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ross County the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Montrose.
- Where and when is Ross County vs Montrose played?
- Ross County vs Montrose is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Global Energy Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.