Match

Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Indodrill Stadium, Alloa

Alloa AthleticHamilton Academical

The Footlab AI model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Alloa Athletic. The most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical?

Hamilton Academical starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,727 vs 1,581).

14%24%62%
Alloa Athletic winDrawHamilton Academical win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Alloa Athletic

4-3-3
  1. 24O. Foster
  2. 7K. Glasgow
  3. 28M. Aitken
  1. 4S. Hetherington
  2. 12S. Scougall
  3. 6G. Marchant
  1. 2S. Taggart
  2. 20C. O'Donnell
  3. 5Joseph McGrath
  4. 3C. Waters
  1. 1R. Stewart

Hamilton Academical

4-3-3
  1. 27S. McKinstry
  2. 29A. Ryan
  3. 10S. Bradley
  1. 6C. Blues
  2. 17S. Bannigan
  3. 8K. MacDonald
  1. 33S. Hendrie
  2. 2A. Comrie
  3. 3T. Gallacher
  4. 5F. Owens
  1. 1D. Lyness

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:39 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alloa Athletic have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Hamilton Academical have 12, 1 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alloa Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026East Fife(away)3-0League One
Oct 13, 2026Annan Athletic(away)0-0Challenge Cup
Oct 10, 2026Hamilton Academical(home)0-3League One
Oct 3, 2026Ross County(away)1-4League One
Sep 26, 2026Gala Fairydean Rovers(home)2-2Challenge Cup
Hamilton Academical
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Airdrie United(away)2-1League One
Oct 13, 2026Gala Fairydean Rovers(away)2-0Challenge Cup
Oct 10, 2026Alloa Athletic(away)3-0League One
Oct 3, 2026Peterhead(home)2-1League One
Sep 26, 2026Kilmarnock II(home)3-0Challenge Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Alloa Athletic wins, 0 draws, 4 Hamilton Academical wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Alloa Athletic 0-3 Hamilton AcademicalLeague One
Aug 8, 2026Hamilton Academical 1-0 Alloa AthleticLeague One
Apr 11, 2026Hamilton Academical 1-0 Alloa AthleticLeague One
Feb 21, 2026Alloa Athletic 3-0 Hamilton AcademicalLeague One
Dec 20, 2025Hamilton Academical 1-0 Alloa AthleticLeague One
Aug 23, 2025Alloa Athletic 1-0 Hamilton AcademicalLeague One

Last archived meeting: Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical on Oct 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alloa Athletic score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hamilton Academical score 1.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Alloa Athletic1.61.158/159/15
Hamilton Academical1.90.5104/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alloa Athletic sit 6th in League One (12 points from 11 matches) and Hamilton Academical sit 2nd (28 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Hamilton Academical1091023328
6Alloa Athletic11335121312

A question about Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical?
The Footlab AI model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Alloa Athletic.
Where and when is Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical played?
Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Indodrill Stadium, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Alloa Athletic and Hamilton Academical

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