Montrose vs Ross County: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Links Park, Montrose
The Footlab AI model makes Ross County the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Montrose. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ross County wins, the most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,718 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montrose vs Ross County?
Ross County starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,784 vs 1,571).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montrose vs Ross County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montrose
4-4-1-1- 16J. Sutherland
- 19G. Oliver
- 8J. Barjonas
- 11B. Lyons
- 12K. Freeman
- 22H. Craig
- 4A. Quinn
- 5S. McGinty
- 3F. Duffy
- 15C. Oosenbrugh
- 1C. Gill
Ross County
4-2-3-1- 9Brian Graham
- 6C. Randall
- 23R. Docherty
- 16C. Hamilton
- 19L. McCarvel
- 7R. Chin
- 4A. Wright
- 3L. Strapp
- 5L. Reid
- 15D. Smith
- 1B. Foster-Theniger
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montrose have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Ross County have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Dundee United II(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 0-5 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(away) | 1-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 7-1 | League One |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 5-0 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hearts U21(home) | 14-0 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Montrose wins, 1 draw, 5 Ross County wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Montrose 0-5 Ross County | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ross County 2-1 Montrose | League One |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Ross County 4-1 Montrose | League Cup |
| Oct 7, 2020 | Montrose 3-3 Ross County | League Cup |
| Jul 13, 2019 | Ross County 4-1 Montrose | League Cup |
| Jul 18, 2017 | Montrose 0-6 Ross County | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Montrose vs Ross County on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montrose score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ross County score 4.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montrose | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Ross County | 4.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montrose sit 4th in League One (16 points from 11 matches) and Ross County sit 1st (28 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Montrose | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 16 |
A question about Montrose vs Ross County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montrose vs Ross County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ross County the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Montrose.
- Where and when is Montrose vs Ross County played?
- Montrose vs Ross County is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Links Park, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.