Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Indodrill Stadium, Alloa
The Footlab AI model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Alloa Athletic. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical?
Hamilton Academical starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,750 vs 1,628).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alloa Athletic
4-3-3- 24O. Foster
- 18B. Forbes
- 29L. Ross
- 4S. Hetherington
- 6G. Marchant
- 12S. Scougall
- 2S. Taggart
- 20C. O'Donnell
- 5Joseph McGrath
- 23D. Devine
- 1R. Stewart
Hamilton Academical
4-3-3- 27S. McKinstry
- 7D. Thomas
- 29A. Ryan
- 6C. Blues
- 17S. Bannigan
- 8K. MacDonald
- 33S. Hendrie
- 3T. Gallacher
- 2A. Comrie
- 16K. Smutek
- 1D. Lyness
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alloa Athletic have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Hamilton Academical have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gala Fairydean Rovers(home) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Hibernian U21(home) | 4-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 3-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Cowdenbeath(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Queen of the South(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Spartans(away) | 4-0 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Alloa Athletic wins, 0 draws, 4 Hamilton Academical wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hamilton Academical 1-0 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Hamilton Academical 1-0 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Alloa Athletic 3-0 Hamilton Academical | League One |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Hamilton Academical 1-0 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Alloa Athletic 1-0 Hamilton Academical | League One |
| May 11, 2024 | Hamilton Academical 3-2 Alloa Athletic | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alloa Athletic score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hamilton Academical score 2.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alloa Athletic | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Hamilton Academical | 2.1 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alloa Athletic sit 6th in League One (9 points from 9 matches) and Hamilton Academical sit 2nd (22 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hamilton Academical | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
| 6 | Alloa Athletic | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Alloa Athletic.
- Where and when is Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical played?
- Alloa Athletic vs Hamilton Academical is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Indodrill Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.