Almansa vs Illescas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal Paco Simón, Almansa
The Footlab AI model makes Almansa the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Illescas. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almansa vs Illescas?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Almansa (1,732) and Illescas (1,762).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Almansa vs Illescas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Almansa
4-3-3- FFrancisco Tomás Gómez
- PPascual Sánchez Toledo
- VVíctor Ramón Martí Serna
- EEnrique Catalán Villar
- AAlejandro Abellán Munera
- MManuel Monteagudo Gil
- JJuan Cifuentes Ortiz
- AAntonio Rangel
- DDaniel Costa García
- FFrancisco José Septién Fernández
- JJose Maria Navarro Diaz
Illescas
Not enough data to predict the Illescas lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almansa have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Illescas have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marchamalo(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Manchego(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villacañas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | La Solana(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | La Solana(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Noblejas(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Villarrubia(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Socuéllamos(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Almansa wins, 0 draws, 3 Illescas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2022 | Almansa 0-2 Illescas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Illescas 3-1 Almansa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 23, 2021 | Illescas 0-1 Almansa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Almansa 2-0 Illescas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Jan 26, 2020 | Almansa 4-3 Illescas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Illescas 2-0 Almansa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
How many goals should we expect?
Almansa score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Illescas score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almansa | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Illescas | 0.9 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almansa sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (10 points from 6 matches) and Illescas sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Illescas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Almansa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 10 |
A question about Almansa vs Illescas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almansa vs Illescas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almansa the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Illescas.
- Where and when is Almansa vs Illescas played?
- Almansa vs Illescas is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal Paco Simón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.