Match

Manchego vs Torrijos: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Juan Carlos I, Ciudad Real

ManchegoTorrijos

The Footlab AI model makes Manchego the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Torrijos. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Manchego vs Torrijos?

Manchego starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,868 vs 1,746).

49%30%21%
Manchego winDrawTorrijos win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Manchego vs Torrijos

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Manchego

Not enough data to predict the Manchego lineup.

Torrijos

4-3-3
  1. BBorja Escoredo
  2. AAlejandro Gálan
  3. JJony Lomas
  1. BBorja Blázquez
  2. ÁÁlvaro Antón
  3. ÁÁlex Cerrillo
  1. PPablo Murillo Dominguez
  2. JJosé Manuel García Jurado
  3. EEmilio Calvo
  4. ÁÁlvaro Juárez
  1. DDiego Pedraza

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:10 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manchego have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Torrijos have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Manchego
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026San Clemente(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Oct 4, 2026Almansa(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Sep 27, 2026Marchamalo(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Sep 20, 2026Huracán Balazote(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Sep 12, 2026Villacañas(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Noblejas(home)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Oct 4, 2026Villarrubia(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Sep 27, 2026Quintanar del Rey(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Sep 20, 2026Socuéllamos(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
Sep 13, 2026Tarancón(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Manchego wins, 1 draw, 2 Torrijos wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 25, 2023Manchego 1-0 TorrijosTercera División RFEF - Group 18
Nov 27, 2022Torrijos 2-1 ManchegoTercera División RFEF - Group 18
Apr 24, 2022Torrijos 0-3 ManchegoTercera División RFEF - Group 18
Dec 12, 2021Manchego 0-0 TorrijosTercera División RFEF - Group 18
Nov 24, 2019Torrijos 2-1 ManchegoTercera División RFEF - Group 18

Last archived meeting: Manchego vs Torrijos on Mar 25, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Manchego score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Torrijos score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Manchego1.10.7103/153/15
Torrijos1.31.365/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Manchego sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (15 points from 6 matches) and Torrijos sit 4th (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Manchego65019515
4Torrijos53206211

A question about Manchego vs Torrijos?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Manchego vs Torrijos?
The Footlab AI model makes Manchego the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Torrijos.
Where and when is Manchego vs Torrijos played?
Manchego vs Torrijos is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Juan Carlos I, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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