Almansa vs Quintanar del Rey: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal Paco Simón, Almansa
The Footlab AI model makes Almansa the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Quintanar del Rey. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almansa wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almansa vs Quintanar del Rey?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Almansa (1,709) and Quintanar del Rey (1,763).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Almansa vs Quintanar del Rey
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Almansa
Not enough data to predict the Almansa lineup.
Quintanar del Rey
Not enough data to predict the Quintanar del Rey lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 09:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almansa have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Quintanar del Rey have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Villarrobledo(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Toledo(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | San Clemente(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Marchamalo(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Manchego(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Marchamalo(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Socuéllamos(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tarancón(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guadalajara II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CD Villa(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Almansa wins, 2 draws, 4 Quintanar del Rey wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | Almansa 1-1 Quintanar del Rey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Quintanar del Rey 3-0 Almansa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Almansa 1-1 Quintanar del Rey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 25, 2020 | Quintanar del Rey 1-0 Almansa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Almansa 0-5 Quintanar del Rey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Quintanar del Rey 3-0 Almansa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Almansa vs Quintanar del Rey on Apr 24, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Almansa score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Quintanar del Rey score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almansa | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Quintanar del Rey | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almansa sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (12 points from 9 matches) and Quintanar del Rey sit 17th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Almansa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 12 |
| 17 | Quintanar del Rey | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 6 |
A question about Almansa vs Quintanar del Rey?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almansa vs Quintanar del Rey?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almansa the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Quintanar del Rey.
- Where and when is Almansa vs Quintanar del Rey played?
- Almansa vs Quintanar del Rey is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal Paco Simón, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.