Manchego vs Villarrubia: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 33Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Juan Carlos I, Ciudad Real
The Footlab AI model makes Manchego the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Villarrubia. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,484 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manchego vs Villarrubia?
Manchego starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,878 vs 1,769).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Manchego vs Villarrubia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Manchego
Not enough data to predict the Manchego lineup.
Villarrubia
Not enough data to predict the Villarrubia lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 05:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manchego have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Villarrubia have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Illescas(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Villarrobledo(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Toledo(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Clemente(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Almansa(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Socuéllamos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tarancón(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Guadalajara II(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CD Villa(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Torrijos(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Manchego win, 2 draws, 3 Villarrubia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Villarrubia 1-0 Manchego | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Manchego 1-1 Villarrubia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Manchego 1-2 Villarrubia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Villarrubia 2-0 Manchego | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Manchego 3-0 Villarrubia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Villarrubia 0-0 Manchego | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Villarrubia vs Manchego on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Manchego score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Villarrubia score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchego | 1.1 | 0.8 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Villarrubia | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manchego sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (21 points from 9 matches) and Villarrubia sit 13th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
| 13 | Villarrubia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 10 |
A question about Manchego vs Villarrubia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manchego vs Villarrubia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manchego the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 12% for Villarrubia.
- Where and when is Manchego vs Villarrubia played?
- Manchego vs Villarrubia is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Juan Carlos I, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.