Almudévar vs Real Zaragoza II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Virgen de la Corona, Almudévar
The Footlab model makes Almudévar the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Real Zaragoza II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almudévar vs Real Zaragoza II?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Almudévar (1,717) and Real Zaragoza II (1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almudévar have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Real Zaragoza II have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Huesca II(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 3, 2026 | Cuarte(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Illueca(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Caspe(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Binéfar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Unión(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | SD Logroñés(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Alfaro(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Almudévar win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Real Zaragoza II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | Almudévar 0-0 Real Zaragoza II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Real Zaragoza II 4-1 Almudévar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
Last archived meeting: Almudévar vs Real Zaragoza II on Mar 8, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Almudévar score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Zaragoza II score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almudévar | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Zaragoza II | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Almudévar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 39 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almudévar vs Real Zaragoza II?
- The Footlab model makes Almudévar the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Real Zaragoza II.
- Where and when is Almudévar vs Real Zaragoza II played?
- Almudévar vs Real Zaragoza II is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Virgen de la Corona, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.