Alondras vs Arenteiro: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo do Morrazo, Cangas
The Footlab model makes Alondras the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Arenteiro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alondras vs Arenteiro?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Alondras (1,742) and Arenteiro (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alondras have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Arenteiro have 0, 4 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Barbadás(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Viveiro(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | CD Lugo B(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Silva(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Guadalajara(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 0-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Osasuna II(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Alondras win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Arenteiro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2021 | Alondras 1-2 Arenteiro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 22, 2020 | Arenteiro 0-0 Alondras | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 5, 2020 | Arenteiro 3-0 Alondras | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Alondras vs Arenteiro on Feb 14, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Alondras score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arenteiro score 0.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alondras | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Arenteiro | 0.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Alondras | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 48 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alondras vs Arenteiro?
- The Footlab model makes Alondras the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Arenteiro.
- Where and when is Alondras vs Arenteiro played?
- Alondras vs Arenteiro is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo do Morrazo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.