Estradense vs Portonovo SD: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 · Matchday 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada, A Estrada
The Footlab AI model makes Estradense the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Portonovo SD. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estradense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,522 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estradense vs Portonovo SD?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Estradense (1,780) and Portonovo SD (1,741).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estradense vs Portonovo SD
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estradense
Not enough data to predict the Estradense lineup.
Portonovo SD
Not enough data to predict the Portonovo SD lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 10:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estradense have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Portonovo SD have 4, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Alondras(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Viveiro(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Silva(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villalbés(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Coruña(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sarriana(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Antela(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pontevedra II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Estradense score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Portonovo SD score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estradense | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Portonovo SD | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/10 | 6/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estradense sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (15 points from 10 matches) and Portonovo SD sit 6th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Portonovo SD | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 15 |
| 7 | Estradense | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
A question about Estradense vs Portonovo SD?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estradense vs Portonovo SD?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estradense the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Portonovo SD.
- Where and when is Estradense vs Portonovo SD played?
- Estradense vs Portonovo SD is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.