Celta de Vigo III vs Somozas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, Vigo
The Footlab AI model makes Celta de Vigo III the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Somozas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celta de Vigo III wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,528 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Celta de Vigo III vs Somozas?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Celta de Vigo III (1,752) and Somozas (1,759).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Celta de Vigo III vs Somozas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Celta de Vigo III
Not enough data to predict the Celta de Vigo III lineup.
Somozas
Not enough data to predict the Somozas lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 02:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Celta de Vigo III have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Somozas have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Villalbés(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Boiro(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Celtiga(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coruña(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Boiro(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Celtiga(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Coruña(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Celta de Vigo III win, 4 draws, 1 Somozas win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Somozas 1-1 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Celta de Vigo III 0-0 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Celta de Vigo III 0-4 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Somozas 0-1 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Somozas 0-0 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Celta de Vigo III 1-1 Somozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Somozas vs Celta de Vigo III on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Celta de Vigo III score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Somozas score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo III | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Somozas | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Celta de Vigo III sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (7 points from 9 matches) and Somozas sit 16th (7 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Somozas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | Celta de Vigo III | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 7 |
A question about Celta de Vigo III vs Somozas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Celta de Vigo III vs Somozas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celta de Vigo III the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Somozas.
- Where and when is Celta de Vigo III vs Somozas played?
- Celta de Vigo III vs Somozas is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Barreiro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.