Alondras vs Celta de Vigo III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo do Morrazo, Cangas
The Footlab AI model makes Celta de Vigo III the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Alondras. The most likely score is 1-1. If Celta de Vigo III wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alondras vs Celta de Vigo III?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Alondras (1,761) and Celta de Vigo III (1,754).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alondras vs Celta de Vigo III
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alondras
Not enough data to predict the Alondras lineup.
Celta de Vigo III
Not enough data to predict the Celta de Vigo III lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alondras have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Celta de Vigo III have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Estradense(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Villalbés(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Boiro(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celtiga(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Coruña(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Villalbés(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Boiro(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Celtiga(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Coruña(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Alondras wins, 2 draws, 1 Celta de Vigo III win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III 0-2 Alondras | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Alondras 1-1 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Alondras 0-0 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Celta de Vigo III 2-1 Alondras | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Celta de Vigo III 1-5 Alondras | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Alondras 1-0 Celta de Vigo III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Celta de Vigo III vs Alondras on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alondras score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Celta de Vigo III score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alondras | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Celta de Vigo III | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alondras sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (12 points from 9 matches) and Celta de Vigo III sit 17th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Alondras | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 17 | Celta de Vigo III | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 7 |
A question about Alondras vs Celta de Vigo III?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alondras vs Celta de Vigo III?
- The Footlab AI model makes Celta de Vigo III the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Alondras.
- Where and when is Alondras vs Celta de Vigo III played?
- Alondras vs Celta de Vigo III is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo do Morrazo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.