Coruña vs Pontevedra II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Coruña the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Pontevedra II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Coruña wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coruña vs Pontevedra II?
Coruña starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,770 vs 1,644).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Coruña vs Pontevedra II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Coruña
Not enough data to predict the Coruña lineup.
Pontevedra II
4-3-3- FFran López
- BBerni
- HHugo Padín
- IIker Arango
- MManuel Rancaño Miguez
- SSanti Garrido
- PPablo Arnosi Seoane
- AAlejandro Pacheco
- SSergio Abal
- GGabriel Jar Rodríguez
- CCarlos GarcÃa
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coruña have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Pontevedra II have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Alondras(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Viveiro(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Estradense(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Villalbés(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portonovo SD(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Barco(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arenteiro(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Somozas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Celta de Vigo III(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Coruña score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pontevedra II score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coruña | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Pontevedra II | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coruña sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (6 points from 6 matches) and Pontevedra II sit 13th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pontevedra II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| 16 | Coruña | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Coruña vs Pontevedra II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coruña vs Pontevedra II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Coruña the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Pontevedra II.
- Where and when is Coruña vs Pontevedra II played?
- Coruña vs Pontevedra II is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.