Estradense vs Arenteiro: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada, A Estrada
The Footlab AI model makes Estradense the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Arenteiro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Estradense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estradense vs Arenteiro?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Estradense (1,748) and Arenteiro (1,666).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Estradense vs Arenteiro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Estradense
Not enough data to predict the Estradense lineup.
Arenteiro
4-3-3- 7David Ferreiro
- 11J. Cuéllar
- 9Nacho Ramón
- 21Álex López
- 10Chuca
- 6B. Val
- 5Gorka Pérez
- 4E. Falcon
- 15D. Moreno
- 16Daniel Lasure
- 1Álvaro Abajas
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estradense have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Arenteiro have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villalbés(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Boiro(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Celtiga(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Coruña(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sarriana(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Antela(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pontevedra II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lalin(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Portonovo SD(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Estradense wins, 2 draws, 2 Arenteiro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2021 | Arenteiro 1-0 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 15, 2020 | Estradense 1-1 Arenteiro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Estradense 0-0 Arenteiro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Arenteiro 2-1 Estradense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Arenteiro vs Estradense on Feb 6, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Estradense score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arenteiro score 0.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estradense | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Arenteiro | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estradense sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 (10 points from 6 matches) and Arenteiro sit 18th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Estradense | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| 18 | Arenteiro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
A question about Estradense vs Arenteiro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estradense vs Arenteiro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Estradense the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Arenteiro.
- Where and when is Estradense vs Arenteiro played?
- Estradense vs Arenteiro is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.