Match

Alta vs Corpus Christi: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 25, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Lancaster Municipal Stadium, Lancaster, California

AltaCorpus Christi

The Footlab model makes Alta the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Corpus Christi. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alta vs Corpus Christi?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Alta (1,678) and Corpus Christi (1,727).

Alta win49 %
Draw27 %
Corpus Christi win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alta have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Corpus Christi have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Naples(home)1-2USL League One
Aug 15, 2026NY Cosmos(away)0-1USL League One
Aug 9, 2026Fort Wayne(home)3-0USL League One
Aug 5, 2026Naples(away)1-2USL League One
Aug 1, 2026Richmond Kickers(away)2-3USL League One
Corpus Christi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Westchester SC(home)2-2USL League One
Aug 20, 2026NY Cosmos(home)0-2USL League One
Aug 16, 2026Spokane Velocity(away)3-2USL League One
Aug 8, 2026Portland Hearts of Pine(away)2-0USL League One
Aug 2, 2026Boise(away)0-0USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Alta win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Corpus Christi win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 25, 2026Corpus Christi 0-0 AltaUSL League One

Last archived meeting: Corpus Christi vs Alta on Jun 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alta score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Corpus Christi score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Alta1.31.249/159/15
Corpus Christi1.31.167/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alta sit 8th in USL League One (32 points from 24 matches) and Corpus Christi sit 9th (30 points from 23 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Alta24888332932
9Corpus Christi23797283230

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alta vs Corpus Christi?
The Footlab model makes Alta the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Corpus Christi.
Where and when is Alta vs Corpus Christi played?
Alta vs Corpus Christi is played on October 25, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Lancaster Municipal Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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