Match

Altglienicke vs VfL Wolfsburg: prediction and stats

DFB PokalRound of 64Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Friedrich-Ludwig-Jahn-Sportpark, Berlin

AltglienickeVfL Wolfsburg

The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Altglienicke. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Altglienicke vs VfL Wolfsburg?

A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Altglienicke (1,948) and VfL Wolfsburg (2,025).

Altglienicke win16 %
Draw19 %
VfL Wolfsburg win66 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altglienicke have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; VfL Wolfsburg have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Altglienicke
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Hallescher FC(home)2-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 11, 2026Hertha BSC II(home)3-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 7, 2026Greifswalder FC(away)3-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026SV Babelsberg 03(away)2-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(away)3-3Regionalliga - Nordost
VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Hannover 96(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 20261. FC Kaiserslautern(home)0-02. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026Telstar(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026Lyon(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Verl(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Altglienicke score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Altglienicke2.31.1410/1510/15
VfL Wolfsburg1.71.358/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Altglienicke vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Altglienicke.
Where and when is Altglienicke vs VfL Wolfsburg played?
Altglienicke vs VfL Wolfsburg is played on August 24, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Friedrich-Ludwig-Jahn-Sportpark, in the DFB Pokal.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Altglienicke and VfL Wolfsburg

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