Karlsruher SC vs VfL Wolfsburg: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)BBBank Wildpark, Karlsruhe
The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Karlsruher SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karlsruher SC vs VfL Wolfsburg?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Karlsruher SC (1,946) and VfL Wolfsburg (2,028).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karlsruher SC have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; VfL Wolfsburg have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(away) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld(home) | 2-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Inter(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hannover 96(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Verl(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Karlsruher SC win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 VfL Wolfsburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2013 | Karlsruher SC 1-3 VfL Wolfsburg | DFB Pokal |
Last archived meeting: Karlsruher SC vs VfL Wolfsburg on Aug 3, 2013
How many goals should we expect?
Karlsruher SC score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlsruher SC | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karlsruher SC sit 3rd in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 2 matches) and VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karlsruher SC vs VfL Wolfsburg?
- The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Karlsruher SC.
- Where and when is Karlsruher SC vs VfL Wolfsburg played?
- Karlsruher SC vs VfL Wolfsburg is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at BBBank Wildpark, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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