Alvechurch vs Hitchin Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Lye Meadow, Alvechurch, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Hitchin Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alvechurch vs Hitchin Town?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Alvechurch (1,805) and Hitchin Town (1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alvechurch have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Hitchin Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Redditch United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Luton(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Alvechurch win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Hitchin Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2025 | Alvechurch 4-1 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Hitchin Town 0-1 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Alvechurch 2-1 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Hitchin Town 2-0 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Alvechurch 1-3 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Hitchin Town 2-1 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Alvechurch vs Hitchin Town on Apr 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hitchin Town score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvechurch | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Hitchin Town | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alvechurch sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 3 matches) and Hitchin Town sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 18 | Hitchin Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alvechurch vs Hitchin Town?
- The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Hitchin Town.
- Where and when is Alvechurch vs Hitchin Town played?
- Alvechurch vs Hitchin Town is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Lye Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Bury TownvsRushall Olympic
- Nov 14, 2026Halesowen TownvsPeterborough Sports
- Nov 14, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsStourbridge
- Nov 14, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsRacing Club Warwick
- Nov 14, 2026Needham MarketvsBanbury United
- Nov 14, 2026Redditch UnitedvsStamford
- Nov 14, 2026LeamingtonvsLeiston
- Nov 14, 2026Anstey NomadsvsWorcester City