Match

Leamington vs Leiston: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Your Co-op Community Stadium, Royal Leamington Spa, Warwickshire

LeamingtonLeiston

The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leamington vs Leiston?

Leiston starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (1,790 vs 1,618).

Leamington win26 %
Draw24 %
Leiston win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leamington have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Leiston have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leamington
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bury Town(away)0-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Kettering Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Anstey Nomads(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Real Bedford(away)2-4Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Yate Town(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Leiston
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stourbridge(away)2-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Rushall Olympic(home)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Bishop's Stortford(home)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Anstey Nomads(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 28, 2026Gorleston(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Leamington win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Leiston win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 20, 2024Leiston 1-1 LeamingtonNon League Premier - Southern Central
Nov 11, 2023Leamington 1-1 LeistonNon League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Leamington on Apr 20, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leamington1.32.2111/1511/15
Leiston1.41.4311/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leamington sit 17th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 2 matches) and Leiston sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Leiston3111544
17Leamington2011351

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leamington vs Leiston?
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Leamington.
Where and when is Leamington vs Leiston played?
Leamington vs Leiston is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Your Co-op Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Leamington and Leiston

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