Anstey Nomads vs Worcester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cropston Road, Leicester, Leicestershire
The Footlab model makes Anstey Nomads the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Worcester City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Anstey Nomads vs Worcester City?
Anstey Nomads starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,922 vs 1,801).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anstey Nomads have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Worcester City have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leighton Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leiston(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Wellingborough Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Anstey Nomads win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Worcester City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2025 | Anstey Nomads 0-2 Worcester City | Non League Div One - Play-offs |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Anstey Nomads 2-1 Worcester City | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Worcester City 4-1 Anstey Nomads | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
Last archived meeting: Anstey Nomads vs Worcester City on Apr 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Anstey Nomads score 2.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anstey Nomads | 2.4 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Worcester City | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Anstey Nomads sit 15th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (2 points from 2 matches) and Worcester City sit 19th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Anstey Nomads | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Anstey Nomads vs Worcester City?
- The Footlab model makes Anstey Nomads the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Worcester City.
- Where and when is Anstey Nomads vs Worcester City played?
- Anstey Nomads vs Worcester City is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Cropston Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Bury TownvsRushall Olympic
- Nov 14, 2026Halesowen TownvsPeterborough Sports
- Nov 14, 2026AlvechurchvsHitchin Town
- Nov 14, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsStourbridge
- Nov 14, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsRacing Club Warwick
- Nov 14, 2026Needham MarketvsBanbury United
- Nov 14, 2026Redditch UnitedvsStamford
- Nov 14, 2026LeamingtonvsLeiston