Alvechurch vs Leamington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Lye Meadow, Alvechurch, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alvechurch vs Leamington?
Alvechurch starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,805 vs 1,650).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alvechurch have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Leamington have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Alvechurch win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Leamington win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2025 | Alvechurch 3-0 Leamington | FA Cup |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Leamington 1-1 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Alvechurch 1-0 Leamington | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Alvechurch vs Leamington on Sep 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvechurch | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Leamington | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alvechurch sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 3 matches) and Leamington sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 17 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alvechurch vs Leamington?
- The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Leamington.
- Where and when is Alvechurch vs Leamington played?
- Alvechurch vs Leamington is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Lye Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 10, 2027Bury TownvsRedditch United
- Apr 10, 2027Halesowen TownvsBanbury United
- Apr 10, 2027LeistonvsWorcester City
- Apr 10, 2027Needham MarketvsReal Bedford
- Apr 10, 2027Peterborough SportsvsBishop's Stortford
- Apr 10, 2027Rushall OlympicvsStourbridge
- Apr 10, 2027Stratford TownvsAnstey Nomads