Match

Real Bedford vs Alvechurch: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)McMullen Park, Cardington, Bedfordshire

Real BedfordAlvechurch

The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Alvechurch. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Bedford vs Alvechurch?

Real Bedford starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,990 vs 1,805).

Real Bedford win61 %
Draw21 %
Alvechurch win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Bedford have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Alvechurch have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Bedford
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stratford Town(home)6-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Banbury United(away)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Peterborough Sports(away)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Leamington(home)4-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026Hertford Town(home)11-2Friendlies Clubs
Alvechurch
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bishop's Stortford(away)3-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Needham Market(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Worcester City(home)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Kettering Town(away)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 28, 2026Kidderminster Harriers(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Real Bedford win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Alvechurch win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Real Bedford 3-2 AlvechurchNon League Premier - Southern Central
Feb 24, 2026Alvechurch 3-4 Real BedfordNon League Premier - Southern Central
Nov 15, 2025Alvechurch 1-1 Real BedfordFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Real Bedford vs Alvechurch on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Bedford score 3.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Bedford3.51.5212/1513/15
Alvechurch1.40.949/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Bedford sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern Central (9 points from 3 matches) and Alvechurch sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Real Bedford3300939
3Alvechurch3201526

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Bedford vs Alvechurch?
The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Alvechurch.
Where and when is Real Bedford vs Alvechurch played?
Real Bedford vs Alvechurch is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at McMullen Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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