Real Bedford vs Alvechurch: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 42Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)McMullen Park, Cardington, Bedfordshire
The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Alvechurch. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Bedford vs Alvechurch?
Real Bedford starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,990 vs 1,805).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Bedford have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Alvechurch have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stratford Town(home) | 6-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Banbury United(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Peterborough Sports(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hertford Town(home) | 11-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Real Bedford win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Alvechurch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Real Bedford 3-2 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Alvechurch 3-4 Real Bedford | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Alvechurch 1-1 Real Bedford | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Real Bedford vs Alvechurch on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Bedford score 3.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Bedford | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Alvechurch | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Bedford sit 1st in Non League Premier - Southern Central (9 points from 3 matches) and Alvechurch sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Bedford | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Bedford vs Alvechurch?
- The Footlab model makes Real Bedford the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Alvechurch.
- Where and when is Real Bedford vs Alvechurch played?
- Real Bedford vs Alvechurch is played on April 17, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at McMullen Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027StamfordvsLeiston
- Apr 17, 2027StourbridgevsStratford Town
- Apr 17, 2027Banbury UnitedvsHitchin Town
- Apr 17, 2027Bishop's StortfordvsKettering Town
- Apr 17, 2027Bromsgrove SportingvsHalesowen Town
- Apr 17, 2027Redditch UnitedvsRushall Olympic
- Apr 17, 2027LeamingtonvsLeighton Town
- Apr 17, 2027Anstey NomadsvsBury Town