Leiston vs Worcester City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 41Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Victory Road, Leiston, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Worcester City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leiston vs Worcester City?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Leiston (1,823) and Worcester City (1,834).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leiston have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Worcester City have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stourbridge(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gorleston(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stamford(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leighton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alvechurch(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Leiston win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Worcester City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Leiston 1-0 Worcester City | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Worcester City 1-1 Leiston | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Leiston vs Worcester City on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leiston score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Worcester City score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Worcester City | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leiston sit 8th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (4 points from 3 matches) and Worcester City sit 19th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Leiston | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 19 | Worcester City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leiston vs Worcester City?
- The Footlab model makes Leiston the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Worcester City.
- Where and when is Leiston vs Worcester City played?
- Leiston vs Worcester City is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Road, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Hitchin TownvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Apr 10, 2027Bury TownvsRedditch United
- Apr 10, 2027Halesowen TownvsBanbury United
- Apr 10, 2027AlvechurchvsLeamington
- Apr 10, 2027Needham MarketvsReal Bedford
- Apr 10, 2027Peterborough SportsvsBishop's Stortford
- Apr 10, 2027Rushall OlympicvsStourbridge
- Apr 10, 2027Stratford TownvsAnstey Nomads