Alvechurch vs Stratford Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Lye Meadow, Alvechurch, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Stratford Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alvechurch vs Stratford Town?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Alvechurch (1,805) and Stratford Town (1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alvechurch have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Stratford Town have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 1-6 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bury Town(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Redditch United(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Alvechurch win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Stratford Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Stratford Town 2-1 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Alvechurch 1-2 Stratford Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Stratford Town 3-1 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Alvechurch 1-2 Stratford Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Stratford Town 3-2 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Alvechurch 1-0 Stratford Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Stratford Town vs Alvechurch on Dec 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Stratford Town score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvechurch | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Stratford Town | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alvechurch sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 3 matches) and Stratford Town sit 16th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Stratford Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alvechurch vs Stratford Town?
- The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Stratford Town.
- Where and when is Alvechurch vs Stratford Town played?
- Alvechurch vs Stratford Town is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Lye Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026Hitchin TownvsLeamington
- Dec 19, 2026Halesowen TownvsLeiston
- Dec 19, 2026Banbury UnitedvsRedditch United
- Dec 19, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsWorcester City
- Dec 19, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsStamford
- Dec 19, 2026Needham MarketvsRushall Olympic
- Dec 19, 2026Peterborough SportsvsLeighton Town
- Dec 19, 2026Kettering TownvsBury Town