Hitchin Town vs Leamington: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Top Field, Hitchin, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Hitchin Town the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Leamington. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hitchin Town vs Leamington?
Hitchin Town starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,763 vs 1,618).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hitchin Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Leamington have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Redditch United(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Luton(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bury Town(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Anstey Nomads(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hitchin Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Leamington win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | Leamington 3-0 Hitchin Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Hitchin Town 1-2 Leamington | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Leamington vs Hitchin Town on Mar 16, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Hitchin Town score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leamington score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hitchin Town | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Leamington | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hitchin Town sit 18th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Leamington sit 17th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Leamington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 18 | Hitchin Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hitchin Town vs Leamington?
- The Footlab model makes Hitchin Town the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Leamington.
- Where and when is Hitchin Town vs Leamington played?
- Hitchin Town vs Leamington is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Top Field, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 19, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsWorcester City
- Dec 19, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsStamford
- Dec 19, 2026Needham MarketvsRushall Olympic
- Dec 19, 2026Peterborough SportsvsLeighton Town
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