Stratford Town vs Alvechurch: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Arden Garages Stadium, Stratford-upon-Avon, Warwickshire
The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Stratford Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stratford Town vs Alvechurch?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Stratford Town (1,797) and Alvechurch (1,805).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stratford Town have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Alvechurch have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Real Bedford(away) | 1-6 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bury Town(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Redditch United(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Needham Market(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Stratford Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Alvechurch win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Stratford Town 2-1 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Alvechurch 1-2 Stratford Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Stratford Town 3-1 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Alvechurch 1-2 Stratford Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Stratford Town 3-2 Alvechurch | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Alvechurch 1-0 Stratford Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Stratford Town vs Alvechurch on Dec 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Stratford Town score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stratford Town | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Alvechurch | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stratford Town sit 16th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (2 points from 3 matches) and Alvechurch sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Alvechurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Stratford Town | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stratford Town vs Alvechurch?
- The Footlab model makes Alvechurch the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Stratford Town.
- Where and when is Stratford Town vs Alvechurch played?
- Stratford Town vs Alvechurch is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Arden Garages Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 3, 2026StamfordvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Oct 3, 2026StourbridgevsRacing Club Warwick
- Oct 3, 2026Bury TownvsKettering Town
- Oct 3, 2026LeistonvsHalesowen Town
- Oct 3, 2026Redditch UnitedvsBanbury United
- Oct 3, 2026Rushall OlympicvsNeedham Market
- Oct 3, 2026LeamingtonvsHitchin Town
- Oct 3, 2026Anstey NomadsvsReal Bedford