Alverca vs Estrela: result 1-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 31, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
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What was the result of Alverca vs Estrela?
Alverca and Estrela drew 1-1 on January 31, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 81′S. van HooijdonkEstrela (pen.)
- 87′Fabrício GarciaAlverca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alverca have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Estrela have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-5 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Moreirense(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Famalicao(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Estoril(away) | 1-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 22, 2025 | FC Porto(home) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 0-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Estoril(home) | 0-5 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 6, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 3-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Famalicao(away) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Alverca win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Estrela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2025 | Estrela 2-2 Alverca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Alverca score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela score 1.4 and concede 2.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alverca | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Estrela | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alverca sit 18th in Primeira Liga (0 points from 1 matches) and Estrela sit 6th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Estrela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 18 | Alverca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy