Academico Viseu vs Alverca: prediction and stats
Primeira LigaMatchday 12Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal do Fontelo, Viseu
The Footlab AI model makes Academico Viseu the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Alverca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Academico Viseu wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,926 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Academico Viseu vs Alverca?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Academico Viseu (2,074) and Alverca (2,072).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Academico Viseu vs Alverca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Academico Viseu
4-2-3-1- 33André Clóvis
- 8C. Kahraman
- 14S. Messeguem
- 31João Guilherme
- 7Luís Silva
- 22Nils Mortimer
- 41A. Correia
- 2N. Michelis
- 3Miguel Brau
- 57G. Costa
- 98Ewerton
Alverca
3-4-3- 22Figueiredo
- 19D. Camara
- 10Chiquinho
- 55Francisco Chissumba
- 6D. Gui
- 20Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques
- 25Ian Luccas
- 12I. James
- 21Sergi Gómez
- 4Y. Bojang
- 31Matheus Mendes
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 03:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Academico Viseu have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Alverca have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Nacional(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Rio Ave(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 28, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 0-1 | Taça da Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sporting CP(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fátima(away) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Casa Pia(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Benfica(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 0-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 4-1 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Academico Viseu wins, 1 draw, 0 Alverca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Academico Viseu 2-2 Alverca | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Alverca 0-4 Academico Viseu | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 30, 2018 | Alverca 0-3 Academico Viseu | Taça de Portugal |
Last archived meeting: Academico Viseu vs Alverca on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Academico Viseu score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Alverca score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Alverca | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Academico Viseu sit 6th in Primeira Liga (20 points from 11 matches) and Alverca sit 11th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 20 |
| 11 | Alverca | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 12 |
A question about Academico Viseu vs Alverca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Academico Viseu vs Alverca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Academico Viseu the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Alverca.
- Where and when is Academico Viseu vs Alverca played?
- Academico Viseu vs Alverca is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal do Fontelo, in the Primeira Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.